Given the larger-than-usual uncertainty in the track and intensity forecasts, it is too early to specify the location and magnitude of where Bret's associated hazards could occur.Bret is forecast to approach the Lesser Antilles through early Thursday and then move across the islands Thursday and Thursday night as a tropical storm, bringing a risk of flooding from heavy rainfall, strong winds, and dangerous waves along the coast.Rare June hurricanes: Is a rare June hurricane possible? Forecasters are keeping their eyes on latest storm Key messages from the Hurricane Center: What you need to know about Tropical Storm Bret The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Bret is expected to be a tropical storm when it reaches the Lesser Antilles. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph, with higher gusts. On the forecast track, the center of Bret could move across portions of the Lesser Antilles Thursday afternoon through Thursday night. View Gallery: NHC: Forecast path and spaghetti models for Tropical Storm BretĪt 11 a.m., the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located 945 miles east of the southern Windward Islands (near latitude 11.9 North, longitude 47.0 West).īret is moving toward the west near 21 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue for the next several days. How strong is Tropical Storm Bret and where is it going? Location: 945 miles east of the southern Windward Islands 2,375 miles southeast of West Palm Beach.June hurricane? A hurricane making Florida landfall in June? Here is how often that's happened Spaghetti models, forecast path for Tropical Storm BretĬan't see the spaghetti models? Tropical Storm Bret: What you need to know Typically, that happens in August and September, according to AccuWeather. It's unusual for a tropical system to form in the eastern part of the tropical Atlantic from a tropical wave that emerged off Africa. Tropical Storm Bret 2023 is the seventh earliest third named storm on record. Tropical Storm Bret is unusual June stormīret is the farthest east a tropical storm has formed in the tropical Atlantic - south of 23.5 North - this early in the calendar year on record, according to Colorado State University hurricane meteorologist Philip Klotzbach. While some strengthening is possible, the current National Hurricane Center's forecast calls for Bret to remain below hurricane strength and to dissipate within five days. Most forecast models predict wind shear will affect Bret's ability to strengthen into a hurricane. There continues to be a " significant spread in the three to five day track" for Bret, probably due in large part to differences in the storm's predicted intensity, said Hurricane Center forecasters. Tropical Storm Bret: See spaghetti models, projected path and storm activity for Florida What else is out there? Tropical depression expected in Atlantic this week That advice was echoed by AccuWeather meteorologists, who urged residents in Bret's path to look at the "entire window of movement" and not just the center, especially since it is possible the storm could take not only a westerly path but a " last-minute jog to the north" as it nears the Caribbean, according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski. Tropical storm watches may be required for some islands later today or tonight. Residents in the Lesser Antilles were advised to monitor the progress of Bret as it moves toward the Caribbean Sea. Tropical Storm Bret is maintaining 40-mph winds and picking up speed, but the latest forecasts calls for Bret to remain a tropical storm as it encounters conditions that may prevent it from reaching hurricane strength, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Watch Video: Tropical Storm Bret forms in the Atlantic, heading for the Caribbean
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